Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 78.807160 88.367075 98.116208 108.770661 120.056177 131.625301 144.352817
2025-09-07 64.912294 78.812858 93.591653 110.346166 128.692088 148.059604 169.943316
2025-09-14 56.731296 73.135373 91.116155 112.027935 135.438000 160.621095 189.550512
2025-09-21 48.940748 66.874404 87.108617 111.194549 138.687738 168.742825 203.748725
2025-09-28 41.784438 60.569902 82.381243 108.926145 139.775766 173.992181 214.332692
2025-10-05 39.145107 59.340381 83.292205 112.909278 147.764736 186.809763 233.221946
2025-10-12 36.128183 57.336075 83.032372 115.304736 153.745404 197.211259 249.273787
2025-10-19 32.068429 53.660986 80.464471 114.708332 156.029571 203.217480 260.190181
2025-10-26 28.494361 50.317689 78.068148 114.112175 158.141198 208.885675 270.601316
2025-11-02 25.855337 48.009109 76.806672 114.763092 161.624417 216.060332 282.676234
2025-11-09 22.889488 45.001827 74.458916 113.905539 163.160044 220.849465 291.900196
2025-11-16 20.612068 42.785540 73.004712 114.055691 165.828884 226.906424 302.547433
2025-11-23 18.032063 39.935247 70.589091 112.910788 166.882455 231.057251 311.012129
2025-11-30 16.544331 38.624792 70.186156 114.310144 171.056562 238.930547 323.871950
2025-12-07 15.306268 37.595501 70.096084 116.060235 175.626881 247.253055 337.246883
2025-12-14 13.404917 35.307096 68.109093 115.204326 176.839772 251.455278 345.676043
2025-12-21 11.297867 32.437625 65.128299 112.890280 176.099643 253.200890 351.103450
2025-12-28 11.038984 32.795268 66.858600 116.954705 183.528480 264.959637 368.570666
2026-01-04 10.394774 32.390587 67.420419 119.398568 188.858115 274.134230 382.930361
2026-01-11 9.083838 30.601560 65.813334 118.790155 190.190235 278.343938 391.270714
2026-01-18 7.898869 28.906274 64.256602 118.181972 191.470920 282.453045 399.462078
2026-01-25 7.082340 27.852495 63.636663 118.846018 194.388767 288.580313 410.096148
2026-02-01 6.050653 26.196094 61.976578 117.971162 195.231118 292.081828 417.504607